Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $568,896$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{639,343.4}{1 + 10^{-0.008 (t - 164.3)}}\) (asimptote \(639,343.4\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $32,616$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{42,077.6}{1 + 10^{-0.007 (t - 186.5)}}\) (asimptote \(42,077.6\))
Start date 2020-02-27 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $81,226$ on 2020-10-25
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $309,946$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{706,639.6}{1 + 10^{-0.011 (t - 242.0)}}\) (asimptote \(706,639.6\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $2,397$ on 2020-10-25
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $14,440$ on 2020-10-25
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $451,707$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{526,636.9}{1 + 10^{-0.015 (t - 183.9)}}\) (asimptote \(526,636.9\))
Start date 2020-03-08 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10,623$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10,615.3}{1 + 10^{-0.016 (t - 155.5)}}\) (asimptote \(10,615.3\))
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $59,735$ on 2020-10-25
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $112,932$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{100,151.4}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 131.4)}}\) (asimptote \(100,151.4\))
Start date 2020-03-31 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,174$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,258.4}{1 + 10^{-0.014 (t - 147.8)}}\) (asimptote \(1,258.4\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $12,480$ on 2020-10-25
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $80,255$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{87,377.9}{1 + 10^{-0.011 (t - 165.6)}}\) (asimptote \(87,377.9\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $312$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{318.0}{1 + 10^{-0.012 (t - 149.2)}}\) (asimptote \(318.0\))
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,167$ on 2020-10-25
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $121,635$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{121,322.2}{1 + 10^{-0.012 (t - 150.3)}}\) (asimptote \(121,322.2\))
Start date 2020-04-04 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $746$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{655.8}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 89.6)}}\) (asimptote \(655.8\))
Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $8,118$ on 2020-10-25
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $55,750$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{47,203.1}{1 + 10^{-0.041 (t - 122.7)}}\) (asimptote \(47,203.1\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,134$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,173.5}{1 + 10^{-0.878 (t - 106.6)}}\) (asimptote \(1,173.5\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $7,000$ on 2020-10-25
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $344,875$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{337,107.9}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 106.0)}}\) (asimptote \(337,107.9\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5,296$ on 2020-10-25
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,331.4}{1 + 10^{-0.014 (t - 122.6)}}\) (asimptote \(5,331.4\))
Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $8,249$ on 2020-10-25